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Results for correctional populations

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Author: Donnelly, Neil

Title: The 2015 NSW prison population forecast

Summary: Aim: To provide short and long term forecasts of growth in the NSW prison population. Method: ARIMA modelling was used to generate the short-term forecast. The long-term forecasts are based on forecast changes in the population and population age structure, coupled with information about long-term changes in age-specific rates of imprisonment. Results: The short-term forecast is that, if relevant influences remain unchanged, NSW will have 12,191 prisoners by March 2017. If age-specific rates of imprisonment remain constant, we expect the NSW prison population to rise to 12,500 by June 2036. If age-specific rates of imprisonment rise in a manner commensurate with trends observed over the past decade, the prison population should reach 15,600 by June 2036. If age-specific imprisonment rates rise according to the trends observed since 1982, the prison population should reach 17,600 by June 2036. Conclusion: The NSW prison population is likely to rise over both the short and long-term unless measures are taken to reduce the demand for prison accommodation.

Details: Sydney: New South Wales Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research, 2015.

Source: Internet Resource: Issue paper no.105: Accessed January 25, 2016 at: http://www.bocsar.nsw.gov.au/Documents/BB/BB105.pdf

Year: 2015

Country: Australia

URL: http://www.bocsar.nsw.gov.au/Documents/BB/BB105.pdf

Shelf Number: 137650

Keywords:
Correctional Populations
Inmates
Prison Population
Prisoners

Author: Minton, Todd D.

Title: Census of Jails: Population Changes, 1999-2013

Summary: Presents state-level estimates of the number of inmates confined in local jails at year end 2013, by sex, race, and Hispanic origin. This report provides information on changes in the incarceration rate, average daily population, admissions, expected length of stay, rated capacity, percent of capacity occupied, and inmate-to-correctional officer ratios. It also includes statistics, by jurisdiction size, on the number of inmates confined to jail and persons admitted to jail during 2013. It features a special section on the 12 facilities that functioned as jails for the Federal Bureau of Prisons. Highlights: From 1999 to 2013, the number of inmates in local jails increased by 21%, from 605,943 to 731,570. During this period, the growth in the jail population was not steady, as the jail confined population peaked in 2008 at 785,533 then declined to its 2013 level. The adult jail incarceration rates changed slightly between midyear 1999 (304) and year-end 2013 (310). Nearly half (46%) of all local jail inmates were confined in jurisdictions holding 1,000 or more inmates in 2013, down slightly from 50% in 2006. Between 1999 and year-end 2013, the female inmate population increased by 48%, from approximately 68,100 to 100,940. The male inmate population increased by 17%, from approximately 537,800 to 630,620. The juvenile population (persons age 17 or younger) held in adult jail facilities in 2013 (4,420) decreased by more than half from its peak in 1999 (9,458).

Details: Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Justice, Office of Justice Programs, Bureau of Justice Statistics, 2015. 22p.

Source: Internet Resource: Accessed January 26, 2016 at: http://www.bjs.gov/content/pub/pdf/cjpc9913.pdf

Year: 2015

Country: United States

URL: http://www.bjs.gov/content/pub/pdf/cjpc9913.pdf

Shelf Number: 137654

Keywords:
Correctional Populations
Jail Inmates
Jails